Inscribirse aquí
All of our online courses are recorded and will be made available to all registrants for 90 days after the session ends.
- –
- 2 Days
- Online via Teams
- Stata
Overview
This intensive two-day course provides a practical and applied introduction to local projections (LPs)as a flexible econometric framework for estimating dynamic effects in macroeconomic, financial, and policy-related settings. The course begins with the foundations of local projections in time-series analysis, then expands to panel local projections, state-dependent and time-varying specifications, and finally to LP-DiD approaches for dynamic treatment analysis in staggered intervention settings. Throughout the course, participants will learn both the conceptual logic and the empirical implementation of local projections in Stata, with emphasis on model design, identification, inference, interpretation, and replication. The course combines theory, methodological discussion, and hands-on exercises based on applied examples.
Program Analysis
The program is methodologically centered on local projections as a modern empircal tool for estimating impulse responses and dynamic treatment effects. It is designed to move progressively:
-
From basic time-series local projections;
-
To panel local projections;
-
To nonlinear and flexible LP frameworks;
-
And finally to LP-DiD methods and common empirical pitfalls
This creates a clear learning path from foundational concepts to more advanced research applications. The course integrates:
-
Theory and intuition, helping participants understand why local projections are useful
- Software implementation in Stata, making the material directly applicable
- Empirical examples, linking methods to substantive research questions
- Replication exercises, reiniforcing learning through practice
- Critical methodological reflection, especially on identification, inference, nonlinearities, and design pitfalls
Course Objectives
By the end of the course, participants should be able to:
- Understand the logic of local projections and explain how they differ from VAR-based approaches
- Specify and estimate time-series local projection models in Stata
- Interpret dynamic responses in terms of sign, timing, persistence, and peak effects
- Implement panel local projections and understand the role of fixed effects, clustering, and heterogeneous responses
- Apply state-dependent and time-varying LP frameworks to more flexible empircal settings
- Understand the intuition and empirical usefulness of LP-DiD methods in staggered treatment contexts
- Evaluate the strengths and limitations of alternative LP designs across different empircal questions
- Conduct replication exercises and robustness checks using applied Stata workflows
- Recognise common pitfalls in indentification, inference, interpretation, and graphical communication
- Design and report a credible empircal LP analysis for academic or policy-orientated research
Learning Outcomes
After completing the course, participants will be able to:
- Estimate impulse responses using local projections in both time-series and panel settings
- Choose appropriate horizon lengths, lag structures and identification strategies
- Implement LP methods using lpirf, locproj, and LP-DiD workflows in Stata
- Interpret interaction terms, threshold effects, and regime-dependent results
- Compare constant-parameter, state-dependent, and time-varying dynamic specifications
- Diagnose weaknesses in event-study and TWFE designs when treatment timing is stagered
- Present dynamic empirical findings clearly and rigorously
Agenda
Day 1:
Introduction to Local Projections
- Definition and intuition of local projections
- Local projections versus VAR-based impulse responses
- Horizon-by-horizon estimation logic
Core Specification and Identification
- The basic local projection regression
- Defining the shock, the response, and the horizon range
- Controls, lag structure, and identification issues
Inference and Interpretation
- Overlapping horizons and standard error corrections
- Confidence bands, uncertainty, and graphical interpretation
- How to read sign, timing, persistence, and peak effects
Time-Series Local Projections in Stata
- Introduction to lpirf
- Estimation workflow in Stata
- Constructing and using an identified shock
- Comparing local projetion results with benchmark VAR evidence
Hands-On Replication Exercise
- Replication of the time-series example from the training code
- Modifying horizon length and lag structure
- Interpreting the resulting impulse responses
Why Panel Local Projections?
• Advantages of panel data for dynamic analysis
• Fixed effects, cross-sectional variation, and richer identification
• Main challenges in panel local projections
Panel LP Specification
• Defining the panel local projection model
• Estimation issues with dynamic panels
• Clustering and inference in panel settings
Panel Local Projections in Stata
• Introduction to locproj
• Main syntax and estimation workflow
• Practical organization of panel LP code and outputs
Applied Example: Reserves and Terms-of-Trade Shocks
• Motivation and economic interpretation
• Baseline panel LP evidence
• Interaction terms and reserves as a buffer mechanism
Threshold and Heterogeneous Effects
• Regime-based estimation in panel LPs
• Threshold splits and nonlinear responses
• Interpretation of full-sample versus subsample results
Hands-On Replication Exercise
• Replication of the panel LP application
• Estimation with interaction shocks
• Comparison of baseline and threshold-based results
Day 2:
Beyond the Constant-Parameter LP
• Constant-parameter LPs as the baseline specification
• Why move to more flexible dynamic designs?
• Matching empirical design to the substantive research question
State-Dependent Local Projections
• Definition and motivation
• Regime indicators and interaction terms
• Estimation and interpretation in Stata
Applied Example: Monetary Policy and Geopolitical Risk
• Dynamic response of interest rates to geopolitical risk shocks
• Full-sample versus developed-economy evidence
• State-dependent panel LP results
Time-Varying-Parameter Local Projections
• Conceptual intuition behind TVP-LPs
• Evolving impulse responses over calendar time
• Horizon-specific variation and event-conditioned responses
Interpretation and Communication
• What time variation adds to the analysis
• Costs in terms of complexity and interpretation
• Comparing constant, state-dependent, and time-varying results
Hands-On Replication Exercise
• Comparison of one constant-parameter LP, one state-dependent LP, and one TVP-LP
• Discussion of empirical gains and interpretive trade-offs
Why Standard Event-Study TWFE Designs Can Fail
• Staggered adoption and problematic comparison groups
• Heterogeneous treatment effects and weighting issues
• Good versus bad comparisons in dynamic treatment settings
Introduction to LP-DiD
• Conceptual link between local projections and difference-in-differences
• Horizon-by-horizon dynamic treatment effects
• Advantages of LP-DiD for staggered policy interventions
Practical LP-DiD Workflow
• Defining treatment timing and event horizons
• Selecting valid control groups at each horizon
• Pre-treatment diagnostics and post-treatment interpretation
Common Pitfalls Across LP Designs
• Weakly identified shocks
• Loss of precision at long horizons
• Misinterpreting interaction terms and regime dependence
• Inappropriate inference choices across designs
• Poor graphical communication of results
Replication Checklist and Final Synthesis
• Choosing between lpirf, locproj, and LP-DiD approaches
• Robustness checks for horizons, lags, samples, and regimes
• Best practices for reporting and discussing impulse responses
• Final discussion and course wrap-up
Target Audience
This course is best suited for:
- Master's students in economics, econometrics, finance or public policy
- PHD students working with macroeconomic, financial, or panel data
- Applied researchers interested in dynamic causal analysis
- Research assistants and analysts using Stata for empirical work
- Policy researchers who need to evaluate shocks, interventions, or dynamic responses over time
Prerequisites
Participants should ideally have:
- Prior exposure to econometrics
- Basic understanding of time-series and panel data methods
- Familiarity with regression analysis and inference
Course Timetable
Terms
- Student registrations: Attendees must provide proof of full time student status at the time of booking to qualify for student registration rate (valid student ID card or authorised letter of enrolment).
- Additional discounts are available for multiple registrations.
- Delegates are provided with temporary licences for the software(s) used in the course and will be instructed to download and install the software prior to the start of the course.
- Payment of course fees required prior to the course start date.
- Registration closes 5-calendar days prior to the start of the course.
- 100% fee returned for cancellations made over 28-calendar days prior to start of the course.
- 50% fee returned for cancellations made 14-calendar days prior to the start of the course.
- No fee returned for cancellations made less than 14-calendar days prior to the start of the course.
The number of delegates is restricted. Please register early to guarantee your place.